Hi Sarah,
How far from land are you? I am thinking your chances of seeing penguins will increase as you get closer to real land as aren't the penguins setting up their claims in rookeries right now?
Could you ask the scientists if the ice has been as far south (as you) this soon in the season in the past? Are you seeing any icebergs?
Killer whale questions-have there been any recent studies into the genetics of the antarctic killer whales? Is it still accepted that they are a separate 'sub-species' because of their coloration (more brownish and tan) or not? What say the marine mammal gurus?
Don't give up hope on the penguins! They will be where the krill is, and the krill will be, where the ice isn't. Or will they? A bird has gotta eat...
Warmly,
Maggie